SportsWatchMonitor, A Professional Sports Monitoring Service
Marc Lawrence Preferred Picks
EXPERT BIO
Member Since 04/10/2016
Fatal mistakes are made by players who fall in love with a certain team(s). The bottom line is they are all 'machines' and our job as handicappers is to identify those that are well oiled and hitting on all cylinders, and conversely those who are not. My primary focus is isolating on winning teams in underdog situations that have a good chance of winning the game in straight-up fashion. If they do, you win. If they don't, but play well, you still win. If they do neither, you lose. I like those kinds of odds. Hence, I live by the 'Woody Hayes' theory of handicapping. Hayes' contention was that when you pass the ball, three things can happen and two of them are bad. When it comes to handicapping sporting events, three things can happen when you bet on a favorite, and two of them are bad. Conversely, three things can happen when you bet on a dog, and two of them are good. Think about that the next time you're convinced a favorite can't lose.
Fatal mistakes are made by players who fall in love with a certain team(s). The bottom line is they are all 'machines' and our job as handicappers is to identify those that are well oiled and hitting on all cylinders, and conversely those who are not. My primary focus is isolating on winning teams in underdog situations that have a good chance of winning the game in straight-up fashion. If they do, you win. If they don't, but play well, you still win. If they do neither, you lose. I like those kinds of odds. Hence, I live by the 'Woody Hayes' theory of handicapping. Hayes' contention was that when you pass the ball, three things can happen and two of them are bad. When it comes to handicapping sporting events, three things can happen when you bet on a favorite, and two of them are bad. Conversely, three things can happen when you bet on a dog, and two of them are good. Think about that the next time you're convinced a favorite can't lose.
LAST 25 PICKS PER SPORT
NFL
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2/11/2024
6:35 PM |
22 49'ERS (SF)
25 CHIEFS (KC)
|
+2 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
|
1/28/2024
6:40 PM |
31 LIONS (DET)
34 49'ERS (SF)
|
-7 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
1/20/2024
8:19 PM |
21 PACKERS (GB)
24 49'ERS (SF)
|
-9.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
1/14/2024
8:15 PM |
23 RAMS (LA)
24 LIONS (DET)
|
-3 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
1/7/2024
8:25 PM |
21 BILLS (BUF)
14 DOLPHINS (MIA)
|
+2.5 (+100)
|
4
|
Loss |
|
1/7/2024
1:03 PM |
17 JETS (NYJ)
3 PATRIOTS (NE)
|
-2 (-109)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
1/7/2024
1:03 PM |
20 JAGUARS (JAX)
28 TITANS (TEN)
|
+3.5 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
12/31/2023
1:04 PM |
19 DOLPHINS (MIA)
56 RAVENS (BAL)
|
+3 (+105)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
12/31/2023
1:04 PM |
23 SAINTS (NO)
13 BUCCANEERS (TB)
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
12/25/2023
8:18 PM |
33 RAVENS (BAL)
19 49ERS (SF)
|
+5.5 (-109)
|
10
|
Win |
|
12/24/2023
1:03 PM |
20 SEAHAWKS (SEA)
17 TITANS (TEN)
|
+3.5 (-115)
|
3
|
Win |
|
12/23/2023
4:35 PM |
11 BENGALS (CIN)
34 STEELERS (PIT)
|
+3 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
12/10/2023
8:23 PM |
13 EAGLES (PHA)
33 COWBOYS (DAL)
|
+3.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
12/10/2023
4:27 PM |
20 BILLS (BUF)
17 CHIEFS (KC)
|
+2 (-112)
|
3
|
Win |
|
12/10/2023
4:07 PM |
16 SEAHAWKS (SEA)
28 49ERS (SF)
|
+11 (-110)
|
4
|
Loss |
|
12/3/2023
4:27 PM |
19 BROWNS (CLE)
36 RAMS (LAR)
|
+4 (-115)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
12/3/2023
4:27 PM |
42 49ERS (SF)
19 EAGLES (PHA)
|
-3 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
|
11/30/2023
8:20 PM |
35 SEAHAWKS (SEA)
41 COWBOYS (DAL)
|
+9.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
11/26/2023
4:27 PM |
34 BILLS (BUF)
37 EAGLES (PHA)
|
+3 (-110)
|
3
|
Push |
|
11/26/2023
4:07 PM |
12 BROWNS (CLE)
29 BRONCOS (DEN)
|
+1.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
11/20/2023
8:20 PM |
21 EAGLES (PHA)
17 CHIEFS (KC)
|
+2.5 (+100)
|
3
|
Win |
|
11/19/2023
1:04 PM |
16 CARDINALS (ARZ)
21 TEXANS (HOU)
|
+6 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
11/19/2023
1:04 PM |
10 STEELERS (PIT)
13 BROWNS (CLE)
|
-1 (-109)
|
5
|
Win |
|
11/16/2023
8:20 PM |
20 BENGALS (CIN)
34 RAVENS (BAL)
|
+4 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
11/12/2023
1:03 PM |
33 BROWNS (CLE)
31 RAVENS (BAL)
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
CFB
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1/8/2024
7:50 PM |
13 Washington U
34 Michigan
|
+4.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
1/1/2024
5:14 PM |
20 Alabama
27 Michigan
|
+2 (-110)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/1/2024
1:05 PM |
0 Iowa
35 TENNESSEE
|
+6 (-109)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
12/30/2023
4:33 PM |
15 Toledo
16 Wyoming
|
+3.5 (-105)
|
5
|
Win |
|
12/29/2023
8:05 PM |
14 Missouri
3 Ohio State
|
-5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
12/29/2023
12:10 PM |
38 Clemson
35 Kentucky
|
+4.5 (-113)
|
4
|
Win |
|
12/27/2023
8:05 PM |
28 Louisville
42 USC (SOUTHERN CAL)
|
+7.5 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
12/23/2023
3:35 PM |
21 James Madison
31 Air Force
|
+1 (-108)
|
3
|
Win |
|
12/23/2023
12:05 PM |
19 Arkansas St
21 NORTHERN ILLINOIS
|
+3 (-116)
|
4
|
Win |
|
12/2/2023
8:14 PM |
6 Louisville
16 Florida State
|
+2 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
12/2/2023
4:05 PM |
24 Georgia
27 Alabama
|
+5.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
|
12/2/2023
3:00 PM |
44 Boise State
20 UNLV
|
+2.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
11/25/2023
3:35 PM |
27 Alabama
24 Auburn
|
+13.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
|
11/25/2023
3:35 PM |
27 Georgia Southern
55 Appalachian St
|
+9.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
11/25/2023
3:35 PM |
56 James Madison
14 Coastal Carolina
|
+9 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
11/25/2023
12:03 PM |
24 Ohio State
30 Michigan
|
+3.5 (-109)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
11/18/2023
7:44 PM |
22 Washington U
20 Oregon State
|
+1 (-109)
|
5
|
Win |
|
11/18/2023
3:35 PM |
38 Georgia
10 TENNESSEE
|
+10 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
11/18/2023
3:33 PM |
38 UCLA
20 USC (SOUTHERN CAL)
|
+6.5 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
11/18/2023
12:03 PM |
31 Michigan
24 Maryland
|
+19 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
|
11/18/2023
12:03 PM |
38 SMU
34 MEMPHIS
|
+9 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
11/11/2023
3:35 PM |
20 Miami Florida
27 Florida State
|
+14 (-108)
|
3
|
Win |
|
11/11/2023
3:35 PM |
38 New Mexico State
29 Western Kentucky
|
+5 (-120)
|
4
|
Win |
|
11/11/2023
2:03 PM |
26 NC State
6 Wake Forest
|
+2 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
11/11/2023
12:03 PM |
24 Michigan
15 Penn State
|
+5 (-120)
|
3
|
Loss |
NBA
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5/16/2024
8:42 PM |
70 NUGGETS (DEN)
115 Minnesota
|
-2 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/15/2024
9:35 PM |
104 Dallas
92 Oklahoma City
|
+4.5 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/14/2024
8:05 PM |
91 Indiana
121 New York
|
-2 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/13/2024
9:35 PM |
100 Oklahoma City
96 Dallas
|
+1.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/11/2024
3:40 PM |
101 Oklahoma City
105 Dallas
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
5/10/2024
9:40 PM |
117 NUGGETS (DEN)
90 Minnesota
|
+4 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/9/2024
7:10 PM |
118 Cleveland
94 Boston
|
+13.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/7/2024
9:38 PM |
95 Dallas
117 Oklahoma City
|
+3.5 (-108)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
5/6/2024
10:05 PM |
106 Minnesota
80 NUGGETS (DEN)
|
-5.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
5/5/2024
1:10 PM |
94 Orlando
106 Cleveland
|
-3.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/4/2024
7:05 PM |
106 Minnesota
99 NUGGETS (DEN)
|
-4.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Loss |
|
5/3/2024
9:40 PM |
101 LA Clippers
114 Dallas
|
+8 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
5/2/2024
9:05 PM |
118 New York
115 Philadelphia
|
+3 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/1/2024
10:05 PM |
123 Dallas
93 LA Clippers
|
-3 (-108)
|
3
|
Win |
|
4/30/2024
8:05 PM |
103 Orlando
104 Cleveland
|
-4.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
4/29/2024
7:30 PM |
102 Boston
88 Miami
|
+10.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
4/28/2024
9:38 PM |
122 Minnesota
116 Phoenix
|
+1 (-112)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
4/27/2024
1:05 PM |
89 Cleveland
112 Orlando
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
4/26/2024
5:41 PM |
118 Milwaukee
121 Indiana
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
4/25/2024
7:05 PM |
83 Cleveland
121 Orlando
|
-2 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
4/23/2024
7:35 PM |
93 Phoenix
105 Minnesota
|
+3 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
4/20/2024
9:30 PM |
New Orleans
Oklahoma City
|
-8.5 (-107)
|
3
|
|
|
4/20/2024
3:55 PM |
95 Phoenix
120 Minnesota
|
-120
|
3
|
Win |
|
4/19/2024
9:35 PM |
98 Sacramento
105 New Orleans
|
0 (-109)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
4/17/2024
7:15 PM |
104 Miami
105 Philadelphia
|
+4.5 (-108)
|
3
|
Win |
CBK
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4/8/2024
9:20 PM |
60 Purdue
75 Connecticut
|
+7 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
4/6/2024
8:51 PM |
72 Alabama
86 Connecticut
|
+11.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
4/4/2024
7:00 PM |
79 Seton Hall
77 Indiana State
|
+3.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
4/2/2024
7:05 PM |
90 Utah
100 Indiana State
|
-3.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
3/31/2024
5:05 PM |
76 NC State
64 Duke
|
-7 (-109)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/30/2024
8:58 PM |
82 Clemson
89 Alabama
|
-3.5 (-110)
|
5
|
Win |
|
3/29/2024
7:39 PM |
68 Gonzaga
80 Purdue
|
-5 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
3/28/2024
9:54 PM |
89 Alabama
87 North Carolina
|
-4.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/24/2024
10:12 PM |
57 Yale
85 San Diego State
|
-5.5 (-108)
|
4
|
Win |
|
3/23/2024
6:15 PM |
56 Washington State
67 Iowa State
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/22/2024
10:55 PM |
75 GRAND CANYON U. (ARZ)
66 Saint Mary's CA
|
+6 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
3/22/2024
3:12 PM |
56 New Mexico
77 Clemson
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
3/21/2024
9:27 PM |
49 St Peter's
83 Tennessee
|
+21.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/21/2024
4:09 PM |
87 Oregon
73 South Carolina
|
+2 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/21/2024
2:02 PM |
65 Long Beach State
85 Arizona
|
+20 (-110)
|
3
|
Push |
|
3/20/2024
9:33 PM |
60 Colorado
53 Boise State
|
-3 (-113)
|
3
|
Win |
|
3/19/2024
9:25 PM |
67 Colorado State
42 Virginia
|
+2.5 (-109)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/16/2024
3:02 PM |
93 UAB
83 South Florida
|
-2 (-110)
|
4
|
Loss |
|
3/15/2024
9:32 PM |
86 San Diego State
70 Utah State
|
+5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/14/2024
7:02 PM |
57 Kansas State
76 Iowa State
|
-7.5 (-114)
|
3
|
Win |
|
3/14/2024
7:02 PM |
71 Mississippi
80 Texas A&M
|
+5.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/13/2024
3:25 PM |
61 TEXAS SAN ANTONIO (UTSA)
64 Temple
|
-2 (-107)
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/12/2024
3:02 PM |
85 West Virginia
90 Cincinnati
|
+9.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
|
3/10/2024
3:02 PM |
70 SMU
74 UAB
|
-1.5 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
|
3/9/2024
8:02 PM |
74 Connecticut
60 Providence
|
+9.5 (-113)
|
4
|
Loss |
MLB
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5/15/2024
7:40 PM |
4 NY Yankees
0 Minnesota
|
-132
|
3
|
Loss |
|
5/14/2024
9:38 PM |
7 St. Louis
6 LA Angels
|
-137
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/12/2024
1:41 PM |
9 ASTROS (HOU)
3 Detroit
|
-101
|
3
|
Loss |
|
5/11/2024
3:07 PM |
8 Minnesota
10 Toronto
|
-140
|
2
|
Win |
|
5/10/2024
7:07 PM |
3 Minnesota
2 Toronto
|
+7.5 un -117
|
2
|
Win |
|
5/8/2024
7:05 PM |
4 ASTROS (HOU)
9 NY Yankees
|
-150
|
3
|
Win |
|
5/6/2024
7:40 PM |
1 Seattle
3 Minnesota
|
-113
|
3
|
Loss |
|
3/28/2024
4:11 PM |
6 Pittsburgh
5 Miami
|
-124
|
3
|
Loss |
|
10/30/2023
8:08 PM |
3 Texas
1 Arizona
|
-101
|
3
|
Loss |
|
10/28/2023
8:03 PM |
9 Arizona
1 Texas
|
+129
|
3
|
Win |
|
10/9/2023
9:07 PM |
4 Arizona
2 LA Dodgers
|
-149
|
3
|
Loss |
|
10/7/2023
4:45 PM |
4 Minnesota
6 ASTROS (HOU)
|
+8.5 un -110
|
3
|
Loss |
|
10/4/2023
4:38 PM |
0 Toronto
2 Minnesota
|
+8 un -115
|
3
|
Win |
|
10/4/2023
3:08 PM |
7 Texas
1 Tampa Bay
|
-142
|
3
|
Loss |
|
8/31/2023
7:05 PM |
6 Miami
1 Washington
|
-154
|
3
|
Win |
|
8/28/2023
7:10 PM |
13 Houston
5 Boston
|
-125
|
3
|
Loss |
|
8/27/2023
1:41 PM |
4 NY Yankees
7 Tampa Bay
|
-127
|
3
|
Win |
|
8/26/2023
4:11 PM |
5 LA Dodgers
8 Boston
|
-122
|
3
|
Loss |
|
8/25/2023
8:10 PM |
2 Texas
12 Minnesota
|
+8.5 un -105
|
3
|
Loss |
|
8/23/2023
7:05 PM |
1 Washington
9 NY Yankees
|
+129
|
3
|
Loss |
|
8/22/2023
8:10 PM |
3 Minnesota
7 Milwaukee
|
-105
|
3
|
Loss |
|
8/20/2023
2:36 PM |
6 Milwaukee
2 Texas
|
+8.5 un -105
|
3
|
Win |
|
8/19/2023
4:06 PM |
6 Milwaukee
1 Texas
|
+8 un -110
|
3
|
Win |
|
8/15/2023
7:07 PM |
1 Philadelphia
2 Toronto
|
+8 un -115
|
3
|
Win |
|
8/13/2023
2:11 PM |
7 Milwaukee
3 Chicago White Sox
|
-121
|
3
|
Win |
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